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Two players $\mathrm{A}$ and $\mathrm{B}$ of equal skill are playing a match. The first one to win $4$ rounds wins the match. Both players are equally likely to win each round independent of the outcomes of the other rounds. After $3$ rounds, $\mathrm{A}$ has won $2$ rounds and $\mathrm{B}$ has won $1$ round. Conditioned on this, what is the conditional probability that $\mathrm{A}$ wins the match?

  1. $5 / 8$
  2. $2 / 3$
  3. $11 / 16$
  4. $5 / 7$
  5. None of the above
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